Friday, March 16, 2012

Baseball Predictions for 2012



New York Yankees.... 94-68
Tampa Bay Rays ....90-72*
Boston Red Sox .... 88-74
Toronto Blue Jays ...83-79
Baltimore Orioles ...71-92

Yankees always seem to win and with their offense and added starting pitching of Pineda and Kuroda I like them to take this divison. The Rays and Red Sox will battle for a wild card spot with the Sox falling just a few games shy of making it due to below average starting pitching. Blue Jays continue to get better but the competition in this division proves too much for a serious run...this year.


Detroit Tigers .... 97-65
Chicago White Sox.... 81-81
Kansas City Royals.... 77-85
Cleveland Indians... 71-91
Minnesota Twins.... 66-96

The Tigers easily win the central because the division is weak overall and they have added Prince Fielder and get a full season out of Doug Fister. They could be the only team to finish over .500. The White Sox will be a decent team. Indians take a step back from the season they had last season and the Royals make some strides but still have too many young players to make it over .500. Twins could be the worst team in baseball but Mauer will have a good year (if healthy).

AL West

Anaheim Angels....98-64
Texas Rangers ....91-71*
Oakland Athletics....72-90
Seattle Mariners ....62-100

I think the Angels will take the west with somewhat ease. They added the best player in baseball (on offense) and a solid starter to what was already an impressive starting 5 in C.J. Wilson (who also knows the West already). The Rangers are still easily in the playoff hunt and I have them going to the wild card game. A's and Mariners will pile up a lot of losses against the far superior Angels and Rangers. At least Manny Ramirez will give the A's fans a quick thrill but will be cut before the season ends.



Philadelphia Phillies....94-68
Miami Marlins .....87-75*
Atlanta Braves.....83-79
Washington Nationals....79-83
New York Mets....73-91

The Phillies are still a strong team and should be one of the best in baseball. They have somewhat shifted from a strong hitting team to a strong pitching team. They have the best starting 3 in the bigs and a new closer in Johnathan Papelbon. Marlins will have a new stadium, players (Jose Reyes, Mark Buehrle, Heath Bell), and atmosphere. They will actually have crowds at their games and I believe the changes are enough for a surprise wild card spot for them.


Cincinnati Reds ....89-73
Milwaukee Brewers....85-77
St Louis Cardinals....85-77
Chicago Cubs ....76-86
Pittsburgh Pirates....74-88
Houston Astros....63-99

With no more Pujols and Fielder the central is up for grabs but still very competitive. I picked the Reds because Votto is now the big man in the central and their pitching added a few nice pieces (Latos and new closer Ryan Madson). Brewers still have good hitting but lost a lot with Fielder departing but they have a nice rotation. Cardinals have a new manager and no more Pujols but they have a nice rotation as well. It will be a fun season in the central and no doubt a very close race between the Reds, Brewers, and Cardinals. Astros eagerly await a switch the AL.


San Francisco Giants ....92-70
Arizona Diamondbacks....90-72*
Los Angeles Dodgers....82-80
Colorado Rockies....70-92
San Diego Padres....66-96

Giants continue to have the pitching (starting and in relief) that helps them squeak by the D-backs this year. Giants also added a few bats (Pagan and Melky Carbera) that make the team better, younger, faster, and better on defense. It will be a close race with the D-back and even Dodgers contending. I foresee a bad season for Rockies and Padres due to bad pitching.

*-denotes wild card


Wild Card Games:

Arizona defeats Miami
Tampa Bay defeats Texas


Detroit defeats Tampa Bay (3-2)
Anaheim defeats New York (3-2)


Philadelphia defeats Arizona (3-1)
San Francisco defeats Cincinnati (3-1)


Anaheim defeats Detroit (4-2)


Philadelphia defeats San Francisco (4-3)

World Series:

Philadelphia defeats Anaheim (4-3)


Wesley said...

Interesting predictions and I love the differences between our picks... gotta love baseball! haha, I'd love to see the Mariners lose 100 though I picked the A's for last... and It wouldn't surprise me if Manny was cut before season even starts...

Colonel Mortimer said...

You obviously follow baseball a lot closer than I do, but I think this is actually the year the Phillies stumble and don't make the playoffs. Their first three starters are amazing, but I think Papelbon's started to descend, and the hitting was absolutely anemic in the playoffs the last two years, and that was with Howard and Utley healthy for most of it. The NL East is one of the better divisions with the Marlins and Nationals looking much improved and the Braves looking to atone for their epic meltdown.

I think the A's will be better than the Mariners, but only by about three or four games, and hell, just to be a contrarian, Manny hits .280 w/ 23 HR upon returning to the lineup (only 48 more games), but I think its strange to make it a big deal as his signing was only about the 10th most significant move for them this off season and is the type of low risk deal they do with veterans every year (Frank Thomas, Matsui, David Justice, Piazza, etc.).

As for World Series, um, how about Reds beat the Rangers (who become the Buffalo Bills of the MLB) after firing Dusty Baker mid year and replacing him with either Jack McKeon, Tony LaRussa or the ghost of Sparky Anderson.

Wesley said...

LOL... love your Reds prediction, Kevin. I picked the Reds to win the World Series myself - but over the Tigers.

Mummbles said...

I think anyone counting the Phillies out is in for a surprise. I know they aren't the sexy pick to win it all but I stand by that they have a great chance to win it all (this was written before any knowledge of Utley missing extended time).

Mariners have no real power as a team and the starting is pretty sad after Felix, and to think they could have kept Fister and Pineda and been something. Manny is Manny, who knows if he will do well (he is the Randy Moss of baseball, but without being caught taking illegal drugs). Good luck with him.